The Estate Vida Blog
What's actually happening in Tampa Bay real estate.
Market Analysis
Tampa Bay's inventory is splitting in two - and buyers are making decisions with the wrong half of the data
Single-family inventory in Tampa Bay has dropped 9.1% YoY while condo supply sits at record highs. These are two completely different markets - here's why it matters.
By Ryan Snyder · October 19, 2026
Tampa Bay has two housing markets right now - and most buyers are shopping in the wrong one
Single-family supply sits at 3.6 months while condos hit 8+ months. Tampa Bay isn't one market - and treating it like one is costing buyers and sellers real money.
By Ryan Snyder · October 14, 2026
Tampa pulled 2,300 permits in one month - and builders are quietly repricing the resale market
Tampa led Florida with 2,300 permits in June 2026. What builders are doing with incentives is quietly changing what resale homes are worth.
By Ryan Snyder · October 9, 2026
Tampa leads the nation in luxury price gains while entry-level buyers can't move - here's what that split is actually doing to the market
Tampa's luxury median hit $1.64M - up faster than any major U.S. metro. Meanwhile, non-luxury prices barely budged. That gap isn't a coincidence. It's a structural problem.
By Ryan Snyder · September 23, 2026
Tampa Bay condos now sit at 9+ months of supply - and the math that's breaking the market isn't what you think
Condo inventory in Tampa Bay has hit 9+ months of supply. The reason isn't the economy or rates. It's a math problem built into the buildings themselves.
By Ryan Snyder · September 21, 2026
Tampa's median price is up 10% and down 0.51% at the same time - here's what's actually happening
Tampa headlines say prices are up 10%. Price per square foot is falling. Both numbers are real. Here's what the gap is actually telling you.
By Ryan Snyder · September 17, 2026
Tampa's luxury market is up 15.6% while everything else barely moved - and that gap is the real story
Tampa led the nation in luxury home price gains at $1.64M median while non-luxury prices rose just 0.3%. Here's what that split actually means.
By Ryan Snyder · September 16, 2026
Tampa city prices are up 5.5% while the metro is down 6% - here's why both numbers are right
Tampa proper and the broader Tampa Bay metro are moving in opposite directions. Here's what that split means for buyers and sellers in 2026.
By Ryan Snyder · September 7, 2026
Tampa Bay's median price hasn't moved in 2 years - and that's the most important number sellers keep ignoring
Tampa Bay's median home price has held near $420K for over two years while days on market jumped 23%. Sellers are pricing like 2022. Here's what that's actually costing them.
By Ryan Snyder · September 1, 2026
Tampa Bay condos lost 12% in a year - and the buildings next door are worth more than ever
Tampa Bay condos are down 12% year-over-year with 13+ months of supply. Single-family homes in the same zip codes are holding - or rising. Here's why both are true.
By Ryan Snyder · August 28, 2026
Builders are handing out rate buydowns in Riverview and Land O' Lakes - and resale sellers nearby have no idea what they're up against
Tampa Bay builders are offering rate buydowns and closing cost credits that resale sellers can't easily match. Here's what the data means for both sides.
By Ryan Snyder · August 26, 2026
Your flood zone label is wrong - and Risk Rating 2.0 is already repricing Tampa Bay homes because of it
FEMA's Risk Rating 2.0 prices flood insurance by the parcel, not the zone. Tampa Bay buyers still shopping by zone letter are making a costly mistake.
By Ryan Snyder · August 25, 2026